Background Lifestyle modifications are critical in addressing metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD); however, the specific macronutrients that most significantly influence the disease’s progression are uncertain. In this study, we aimed to explore the role of carbohydrate, fat, and protein intake in MASLD development using decision trees, random forest models, and cluster analysis.
Methods Participants (n=3,951) from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study were included. We used the classification and regression tree analysis to classify participants into subgroups based on variables associated with the incidence of new-onset MASLD. Random forest analyses were used to assess the relative importance of each variable. Participants were grouped into homogeneous clusters based on carbohydrate, protein, fat, and total caloric intake using hierarchical cluster analysis. Subsequently, we used the Cox proportional hazards regression models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for MASLD risk across the clusters.
Results Carbohydrate intake was identified as the most significant predictor of new-onset MASLD, followed by fat, protein, and total caloric intake. Participants in cluster 3, who consumed a lower proportion of carbohydrate but had higher total caloric, protein, and fat intake, had a lower risk of new-onset MASLD than those in cluster 1 after adjusting for confounders (cluster 1 as a reference; cluster 3: HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82 to 0.99).
Conclusion The study’s results highlight the critical role of macronutrient composition, particularly carbohydrate intake, in MASLD development. The findings suggest that dietary strategies focusing on optimizing macronutrients, rather than simply reducing caloric intake, may be more effective in preventing MASLD.
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Background Studies on predictive markers of insulin resistance (IR) and elevated liver transaminases in children and adolescents are limited. We evaluated the predictive capabilities of the single-point insulin sensitivity estimator (SPISE) index, metabolic score for insulin resistance (METS-IR), homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), the triglyceride (TG)/ high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) ratio, and the triglyceride-glucose index (TyG) for IR and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation in this population.
Methods Data from 1,593 participants aged 10 to 18 years were analyzed using a nationwide survey. Logistic regression analysis was performed with IR and ALT elevation as dependent variables. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to assess predictive capability. Proportions of IR and ALT elevation were compared after dividing participants based on parameter cutoff points.
Results All parameters were significantly associated with IR and ALT elevation, even after adjusting for age and sex, and predicted IR and ALT elevation in ROC curves (all P<0.001). The areas under the ROC curve of SPISE and METS-IR were higher than those of TyG and TG/HDL-C for predicting IR and were higher than those of HOMA-IR, TyG, and TG/HDL-C for predicting ALT elevation. The proportions of individuals with IR and ALT elevation were higher among those with METS-IR, TyG, and TG/ HDL-C values higher than the cutoff points, whereas they were lower among those with SPISE higher than the cutoff point.
Conclusion SPISE and METS-IR are superior to TG/HDL-C and TyG in predicting IR and ALT elevation. Thus, this study identified valuable predictive markers for young individuals.
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